Here's a not-so-bold prediction: MLS will have a team in the 2010-2011 CONCACAF Champions League semifinals.
The prediction isn't so bold because it's now guaranteed by the draw; MLS sides Real Salt Lake and Columbus Crew will play in the quarterfinals. And, without a Mexican club on their side of the bracket, there's a reasonable chance we'll have an American CCL finalist come April.
CONCACAF Champions League Quarterfinals
Feb. 22-24
Monterrey (MEX) at Toluca (MEX)
Santos Laguna (MEX) at Cruz Azul (MEX)
Real Salt Lake (USA) at Columbus Crew (USA)
Olimpia (HON) at Saprissa (CRC)
March 1-3
Toluca (MEX) at Monterrey (MEX)
Cruz Azul (MEX) at Santos Laguna (MEX)
Columbus Crew (USA) at Real Salt Lake (USA)
Saprissa (CRC) at Olimpia (HON)
The downside of the draw is that MLS loses the possibility of putting both teams into the semifinals. But with the League's track record in this version of the tournament, it's a trade worth making; one guaranteed semifinalists is certainly better than a very real chance of none. That the Mexican clubs are grouped together on the other side is a bonus; get through all-MLS match-up, and RSL or the Crew have the less daunting challenge of playing Saprissa or Olimpia to get to the final.
With MLS teams facing off in February, the issue of pre-season form is no longer a concern. Both sides will be at the same disadvantage.
February in Salt Lake and Columbus will be just a bit chilly. Both clubs may find it difficult to sell those games in what is sure to be uncomfortable weather. While the matches are meaningful, it would be foolish to expect much fan enthusiasm during the winter.
But the timing also benefits the MLS winner. With the semifinals set for March, whomever prevails will have a weather advantage over the Honduran-Costa Rican winner. A possible MLS finalist won't have much of an advantage against a Mexican side in April.
The draw sets up perfectly for MLS to finally breakthrough in the Champions League, with a Club World Cup birth and a bit of MLS notoriety should they complete the task.
If MLS ever had a chance to win this tournament, this is it.
