Showing posts with label Jose Francisco Torres. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jose Francisco Torres. Show all posts

World Cup Drama!

Tuesday, June 01, 2010 | View Comments
Turkey v United States

As the day (June 12th, duh) draws near, you're likely to see digital mountains of analysis of Bradley's tactics, projected starting lineups, breakdowns position-by-position and matchup-by-matchup (mostly for England, because they come first), and various sundry examinations of all things USMNT. I have a newsreader I use to sort through all of it. Let's just say that it's rather difficult to do so at the moment. The Turkey match spawned an Everest.


Some took Saturday's events as an opportunity to call out Bradley, and American coaches reaching back across a decade plus for that matter, for failing to recognize calm, cool, and collected in midfield. A wave of Torres support is sweeping through the American soccer community, bringing with it a new storyline to the World Cup buildup.


If you felt like it, you could spend your entire work day reading nothing but overwrought assessments of friendlies that ultimately don't matter. Yes, the performances of certain individual players and the team as a collective unit is indicative of something, but by no means does a poor first half against Turkey definitely prove that the U.S. will have their doors blown off by England. On the flip side, a strong second half doesn't necessarily prove the opposite either; thought we're ten days from kickoff, most sides in the tournament have serious questions to answer and kinks to work out.


And the drama will only grow thicker with each passing day. Like a dense fog rolling across the soccer landscape, it's already affecting perspective everywhere while it precipitates nonsense on an unbelievable scale. Even as I write this, England is dragging out a torturous final roster announcement process; I'm probably counting wrong, but it seems to me every member of the squad has been rumored to be both in and out and sometimes simultaneously.


El Tri is thrashing in agony as the dos Santos family takes turns firing shotgun blasts into its green-clad body. Giovani makes it, his brother Jonathan does not. Zizinho, the players' father, rips the Mexican FA and Javier Aquirre, while declaring that Jonathan will never play for Mexico. Giovani, reportedly distraught over his brother's exclusion, is threatening to pull out of the team.


Whoa.


This makes me wonder what the world (meaning my world, meaning America, and meaning everything surrounding the USMNT) might be like should us Yanks ever take to the game in a widespread and uber-passionate way. Would we fall victim to the media-inspired teeth-gnashing of England? Could we ever find ourselves dealing with the telenovela-like internal conflict of Mexico? We've got cultural attachments, and strong ones, to both nations. It's reasonable to think we might be influenced by their way of doing things, even if they're not actually making a conscious choice.


In the grand scheme of things, coverage and support of the U.S. National Team on a meaningful scale is in its honeymoon phase. Most of the coverage is positive. Human interest angles, feel good pieces, and "the sport is growing" stories dominate the landscape. The hopes of a nation don't rest on the shoulders of Donovan, Dempsey, et al even if they might feel a bit more pressure to perform than they used to. I can't help but wonder how we'll handle it (must throw in the obligatory "if") when we reach a point of serious national interest, or when the attitude towards an American World Cup campaign isn't one of scoff if they're bad or mild surprise and momentary interest if they're good.


The American soccer culture is a melting pot of cultures and influences, yet to be cooked down into something clearly identifiable. England and Mexico are part of the recipe, that much is certain. Let's hope the finished brew tastes like neither, but is something uniquely American, both on the field and in everything that surrounds the game.


Evidence of a Central Midfield

Thursday, September 24, 2009 | View Comments
USA v Mexico, FIFA World Cup Qualifier


Essien, Pirlo, Mascherano, Xavi, Iniesta, Kaka. These guys can deliver devastating tackles, brilliant balls over the top, immense pitch coverage, fantastic one-touch passing, penetrating runs, and jaw dropping dribbling. As diverse as their talents are, they all line up in the center midfield and create the backbones of their teams. They are charged either with being the engine for their team or shutting down the other team’s engine. Only in the central midfield can you find this diversity of talents and roles. While the quality of those above midfielders may not be available in the US talent pool, that level of diversity certainly is.

Eight players have staffed the US central midfield in the 13 “A” team games that have been played in 2009. While Mastroeni and Beckerman have played in games with the US “A” team, their time with the MNT is likely coming to a close; Mastroeni because of age and Beckerman because of better options. The rest of the US talent pool in the center of the pitch is young but experienced for their age. Bradley, Clark, Edu, Feilhaber, Kljestan, and Torres average only 23.3 years old but 20.7 caps. They are still developing, but have shown the brilliance of their potential and the mistakes of their youth.

I wanted to see how the US plays with these players on the field in a more concrete way than just by my own feelings about them. Similar to the hockey plus-minus stat, the table below shows each players minutes, the goals scored while they have been in the central midfield, the goals conceded while they have been in the central midfield, each of those numbers per game equivalent (where game equivalent equals 93 minutes with the extra three added for average second half stoppage time), and the difference between the two.

MinGSGCGS/GEGC/GE+/-
Bradley101618141.61.30.3
Clark5631252.00.81.2
Feilhaber310671.82.1-0.3
Kljestan288260.61.9-1.3
Mastroeni201431.91.40.5
Torres66232.84.2-1.4
Beckerman10000.00.00.0
Edu1000.00.00.0


But that’s only part of the story, because these are midfield pairings, who you are paired with matters too. Here’s where the subjectivity of this comes in. I am going to classify the central midfielders into three groups: more useful when the opponent has the ball (defensive), more useful when the US has the ball (offensive), equally useful (balanced). I classify Clark, Mastroeni, Beckerman, and Edu as defensive; Feilhaber and Torres as offensive; and Bradley and Kljestan as balanced. Below is a chart with all the different combinations that the US has played this year.

MinGSGCGS/GEGC/GE+/-
Def-Bal4941122.10.41.7
Bal-Bal252250.71.8-1.1
Bal-Off210562.22.7-0.5
Def-Off121322.31.50.8
Def-Bal-Off45020.04.0-4.0
Def-Def45112.02.00.0
Def-Bal-Bal18000.00.00.0
Bal14000.00.00.0
Def7000.00.00.0


The two tables show one thing very strongly; Sacha Kljestan has been terrible for the US this year. While Torres’ defensive numbers are not great, the statistical analysis there suffers from an overall lack of minutes and being skewed by the three man center midfield disaster that was the Costa Rica first half. Kljestan has no such excuses. His removal from a lineup has generally been followed by a US goal (Mexico) or two (at El Salvador), while his insertion is generally followed by an opposition goal (Italy and Brazil). Because of terrible play when Kljestan is in the lineup, the Bal-Bal combination has suffered greatly. The other three combinations that the US has frequently used shows a stable trend:

MinGSGCGS/GEGC/GE+/-
Def-Bal4941122.10.41.7
Def-Off121322.31.50.8
Bal-Off210562.22.7-0.5


As the more defensive players are replaced by more offensive players, the goals conceded rises; however, the number of goals scored does not significantly change. An analysis of the numbers separated from player bias, stylistic leanings, and form arguments shows that the US should start its matches with a pairing of a defensive midfielder and a balanced center midfielder with an attacking option off the bench to replace the balanced player when a late goal is needed. In that case, there is a slightly higher likelihood of scoring without selling out the back against the counter. In games where an Off has replaced a Def by red card (Italy when Feilhaber moved to the middle after Clark was tossed) or substitution (Mexico, again Feilhaber for Clark) the US has allowed 3 goals and scored 1 in 74 minutes; whereas a Off has never been brought in for a Bal.

Until Edu returns, Clark is the only top defensive midfielder the US has. Likewise until Jones is eligible and healed, Bradley is the only good option as a balanced midfielder. While their play might be ugly, the objective results of their pairing is hard to argue with. In 370 minutes with them on the pitch together, the US has scored eight goals and conceded one or 2.0 goals scored per game and 0.3 goals conceded per game.

Central midfield pairings can be defensive, possessive, creative, attacking, or some combination of these things. The goal should be to find the pairing that gives a team the best chance to win. For whatever reason, the US bleeds goals when anything nearing an offensively minded midfield is played, and those more offensively minded players have not contributed to the attack enough to offset that loss. When healthy and not suspended, objectively the pairing of Clark and Bradley puts the US in the best position to win. That being said, the statistics make a strong case for looking at the pairing of Torres and Clark; as the strike rate with Torres on the field is the highest of any midfielder and Clark’s low concede rate may balance that midfield nicely.



Does the US Owe Torres?

Thursday, August 20, 2009 | View Comments
WCQ:  U.S.A. v Cuba

I'm just chock (not chalk) full of questions today. This one popped because of a mention of Torres and his place in the US squad at ESPN's US Men's National Team blog (subscription required, sorry).

The post essentially states that Torres needs to prove himself a little more before we can expect Bob Bradley to throw him into another big US game (remember his last appearance, at Saprissa?). I'm a fan of Torres, and there have been spots this year where I had hope Bradley would use him, but perhaps it is a little too early. The kid is only twenty-one, and it's might be a little presumptuous of us to assume he's truly ready to contribute on the international stage.

But that's not why I'm here.

Instead, the question of Torres' place in the squad actually has me pondering another question: Does Bob Bradley, or US Soccer for that matter, owe something to Jose Francisco Torres?

I should probably frame the question better. When I ask if Bradley/US Soccer owes something to Torres, I'm specifically referring to the player's decision to don the Red, White and Blue (or white and a slightly different white, I suppose) of the US over the green of El Tri. Getting Torres, a young player full of potential, to commit his international career to the United States was no small feat; the initial impulse, at least on the part of many fans, is to want to reward him for that decision. That desire is absolutely amplified by the fact that his other option was our most hated rivals, of course, and we were rightfully thankful for his decision.

But Torres' decision was only possible due to a matter of circumstance; just because he threw in his lot with the nation of his birth rather than that of his father doesn't mean he should automatically walk into the team. Torres' talent is undeniable, and I'm sure he'll get his chance to show it in a big US match at some point in the future; but for now, while we're thankful for his loyalty, we should realize that it might just not be his time.

The issue of dual-nationality and choosing a side is a sticky one, especially when it comes down to the Yanks and El Tri. The passion here doesn't measure up to that of Mexico, and so young players often feel more pressure from the southern side than they do the northern. For that reason, Torres' decision is groundbreaking, and should be seen as such, no matter his contributions to the US on any meaningful level.

It's possible that my efforts to separate the player's skill from the question at hand have failed, and that I'm confusing the issue even more. I really just wanted to throw it out there to you, to see if there might be a consensus. If Torres was ready-for-prime-time right now, none of this would have even come up; but because he is just on the periphery, still growing and maturing but not yet a solid contributor, we have to ask the question.

Bob Bradley's job is to win games. I have no doubts, no matter the concerns over his competence, that he does everything he can to put the United States in a position to win each and every time they take the field. If Jose Francisco Torres is not a player to be relied upon quite yet, or is one whose inclusion in place of someone else would make the team weaker, than Bradley is doing the right thing no matter the sense of debt we as fans might have.

The bottom line is that playing time should not be a reward for choosing to declare for the United States.

Maybe I've gone off in the wrong direction, and so I'll end with this: Do you think, if you are one of the people who has been calling for Torres to play, that part of your feeling is based on that aforementioned sense of debt? It's possible that some haven't even examined our feelings enough to have realized that it might be a factor.



After Saturday's debacle (a word I do not hesitate to use) in San Salvador, many American fans are screaming for wholesale changes to the USMNT starting lineup ahead of the next World Cup qualifier against Trinidad & Tobago, set for Wednesday night in Nashville.

If Bob Bradley's tenure as the National Team head man is any guide, however, those changes may not be forthcoming.

What changes we might expect, or are unlikely to see after the jump.

"Flexible" is not a word most fans would use to describe the taciturn Bradley, and it will be interesting to see if he digs his heels in on a few favorites, or if he acquiesces to what were obvious deficiencies in the starting lineup he put on the field against El Salvador.

Oguchi Onyewu will certainly be back in central defense, a change that is only change because Onyewu was held out of the match on Saturday. The same goes for Tim Howard, who was unable to play in San Salvador due to a red card, and will be back in goal for the Americans. Of course these aren't exactly the changes American fans are looking for; they're calling, fairly unanimously, for changs to the midfield and attack, two groups that looked extremely poor for the first sixty-five minutes or so on Saturday.

Word out of U.S. camp, straight from the head man himself, is that while Jozy Altidore looks good in training, he is not currently a ninety minute player. Whether or not this means that Altidore will once again start the game on the subs bench isn't clear; Bradley could conceivable start the youngster, then relieve him with Brian Ching, a reversal of Saturday's tactics. Altidore is at the top of the list when it comes to players supporters want to see start, though my guess is that the "reliable" Ching will once again be up top come game time.

MFUSA's Odds on Jozy Starting: 10-1

Saturday's other impact sub, Jose Franciso Torres (who Steven Cohen got confused with Jorge Flores on FFF last night), would appear to be the most likely new starter; Sacha Kjlestan's ineffectiveness, combined with Torres' strong play against the Salvadorans, makes his case to start a strong one.

MFUSA's Odds on Torres Starting: 3-1

Defense was clearly an issue on Saturday, and while Gooch's return should make an immediate positive impact, the ineffectiveness of Heath Pearce still remains an issue. Pearce was removed from the match with the Americans 2-0 down, and DeMarcus Beasley dropped back to make way for Torres. Pearce's exclusion would seem a foregone conclusion, though it's unclear who would step into his place. The idea of DeMarcus Beasley starting at left back is one that get a lot of play among supporters, but does not seem appealing to Bradley.

Bradley's propensity to stick with the status-quo, both in lineup makeup and in tactics, has continually frustrated those who believe the American team as a whole has greater potential than they are being given the opportunity to exhibit. What happens in Nashville, even before a ball is kicked, may go a long way towards eroding the remaining support that Mr. Bradley enjoys among supporters.

My preferred lineup:

-------------Altidore-------------

--------------Donovan-------------

Beasley---Torres---Bradley---Dempsey

Spector---Onyewu---Bocanegra---Hejduk

--------------Howard---------------


My expected lineup:

-----------Ching---Donovan----------

Beasley---Torres---Bradley---Dempsey

Spector---Onyewu---Bocanegra---Hejduk

--------------Howard----------------

Maybe there's not as much shakeup as you'd like, or maybe the formation leave's something left to be desired.

Give me your lineup, and then the lineup you expect to see.


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